AQX Sports Analytics Data Bowl #2 · Open Source
WHO'S HAVING
THE MVP SEASON?
A transparent, explainable NBA MVP model built on six seasons of real regular-season box scores (2018–19 → 2023–24). Every ranking below is a weighted composite of scoring, efficiency, playmaking, defense, rebounding, and team success — no black box, no hidden voting data. Tune the weights yourself on the Formula Builder.
TOP CANDIDATES
Season
Rank 01DEN
71.5
impact score
Nikola Jokic
26.4
PTS
12.4
REB
9.0
AST
70
W%
Rank 02DAL
71.2
impact score
Luka Doncic
33.9
PTS
9.2
REB
9.8
AST
61
W%
Rank 03MIL
70.4
impact score
Giannis Antetokounmpo
30.4
PTS
11.5
REB
6.5
AST
60
W%
Rank 04OKC
69.4
impact score
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
30.1
PTS
5.5
REB
6.2
AST
70
W%
Rank 05LAL
66.0
impact score
Anthony Davis
24.7
PTS
12.6
REB
3.5
AST
57
W%
FULL LEADERBOARD — 2023-24
Eligibility mirrors real MVP voting conventions: players must have appeared in at least ~58% of team games at 24+ minutes per game, to filter out small-sample outliers.
| Player | #▲ | Impact | PTS | REB | AST | TS% | Team W% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokicDEN | 1 | 71.5 | 26.4 | 12.4 | 9.0 | 65.0 | 70% |
| Luka DoncicDAL | 2 | 71.2 | 33.9 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 61.7 | 61% |
| Giannis AntetokounmpoMIL | 3 | 70.4 | 30.4 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 64.8 | 60% |
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC | 4 | 69.4 | 30.1 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 63.6 | 70% |
| Anthony DavisLAL | 5 | 66.0 | 24.7 | 12.6 | 3.5 | 62.1 | 57% |
| LeBron JamesLAL | 6 | 64.0 | 25.7 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 63.0 | 57% |
| Jayson TatumBOS | 7 | 63.4 | 26.9 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 60.4 | 78% |
| Kevin DurantPHX | 8 | 62.9 | 27.1 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 62.6 | 60% |
| Domantas SabonisSAC | 9 | 62.8 | 19.4 | 13.7 | 8.2 | 63.7 | 56% |
| Kristaps PorzingisBOS | 10 | 61.4 | 20.1 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 64.7 | 78% |
| Donovan MitchellCLE | 11 | 61.3 | 26.6 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 59.5 | 59% |
| Kawhi LeonardLAC | 12 | 61.1 | 23.7 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 62.6 | 62% |
| Devin BookerPHX | 13 | 61.1 | 27.1 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 61.1 | 60% |
| Tyrese HaliburtonIND | 14 | 60.7 | 20.1 | 3.9 | 10.9 | 60.5 | 57% |
| Rudy GobertMIN | 15 | 60.4 | 14.0 | 12.9 | 1.3 | 67.5 | 68% |
| Kyrie IrvingDAL | 16 | 60.4 | 25.6 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 60.8 | 61% |
| Jalen BrunsonNYK | 17 | 60.2 | 28.7 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 59.3 | 61% |
| Anthony EdwardsMIN | 18 | 58.8 | 25.9 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 57.5 | 68% |
| De'Aaron FoxSAC | 19 | 58.8 | 26.6 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 56.6 | 56% |
| Chet HolmgrenOKC | 20 | 58.4 | 16.5 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 63.2 | 70% |
| Stephen CurryGSW | 21 | 58.4 | 26.4 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 61.6 | 56% |
| Jarrett AllenCLE | 22 | 58.2 | 16.5 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 66.4 | 59% |
| Trae YoungATL | 23 | 58.2 | 25.7 | 2.8 | 10.8 | 58.5 | 44% |
| Zion WilliamsonNOP | 24 | 58.1 | 22.9 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 61.0 | 60% |
| Karl-Anthony TownsMIN | 25 | 58.0 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 62.5 | 68% |
| Tyrese MaxeyPHI | 26 | 58.0 | 25.9 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 57.3 | 57% |
| Victor WembanyamaSAS | 27 | 57.9 | 21.4 | 10.6 | 3.9 | 56.5 | 27% |
| Paul GeorgeLAC | 28 | 57.8 | 22.6 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 61.3 | 62% |
| Damian LillardMIL | 29 | 57.7 | 24.3 | 4.4 | 7.0 | 59.0 | 60% |
| Jimmy ButlerMIA | 30 | 57.6 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 62.6 | 56% |
| James HardenLAC | 31 | 57.4 | 16.6 | 5.1 | 8.5 | 61.2 | 62% |
| Jamal MurrayDEN | 32 | 57.3 | 21.2 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 58.6 | 70% |
| Jaylen BrownBOS | 33 | 57.1 | 23.0 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 58.0 | 78% |
| Jalen WilliamsOKC | 34 | 57.0 | 19.1 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 62.1 | 70% |
| Derrick WhiteBOS | 35 | 56.8 | 15.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 61.1 | 78% |
| Alperen SengunHOU | 36 | 56.4 | 21.1 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 58.5 | 50% |
| Evan MobleyCLE | 37 | 56.2 | 15.7 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 62.5 | 59% |
| DeMar DeRozanCHI | 38 | 56.1 | 24.0 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 58.4 | 48% |
| Pascal SiakamIND | 39 | 55.8 | 21.7 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 60.1 | 57% |
| Lauri MarkkanenUTA | 40 | 55.5 | 23.2 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 63.1 | 38% |
| Bam AdebayoMIA | 41 | 55.3 | 19.3 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 57.6 | 56% |
| Fred VanVleetHOU | 42 | 54.6 | 17.4 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 56.8 | 50% |
| CJ McCollumNOP | 43 | 54.5 | 20.0 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 59.2 | 60% |
| Daniel GaffordWAS | 44 | 54.4 | 11.0 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 73.1 | 18% |
| Grayson AllenPHX | 45 | 54.3 | 13.5 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 67.9 | 60% |
| Brandon IngramNOP | 46 | 54.3 | 20.8 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 57.8 | 60% |
| Myles TurnerIND | 47 | 54.1 | 17.1 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 62.6 | 57% |
| Scottie BarnesTOR | 48 | 53.9 | 19.9 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 56.6 | 30% |
| Bradley BealPHX | 49 | 53.7 | 18.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 60.7 | 60% |
| Ivica ZubacLAC | 50 | 53.6 | 11.7 | 9.2 | 1.4 | 67.1 | 62% |
| Paolo BancheroORL | 51 | 53.6 | 22.6 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 54.6 | 57% |
| Dejounte MurrayATL | 52 | 53.5 | 22.5 | 5.3 | 6.4 | 55.5 | 44% |
| Al HorfordBOS | 53 | 53.4 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 65.0 | 78% |
| Isaiah HartensteinNYK | 54 | 53.4 | 7.8 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 67.0 | 61% |
| Mike ConleyMIN | 55 | 53.1 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 62.7 | 68% |
| D'Angelo RussellLAL | 56 | 52.8 | 18.0 | 3.1 | 6.3 | 58.8 | 57% |
| Jrue HolidayBOS | 57 | 52.8 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 59.7 | 78% |
| Aaron GordonDEN | 58 | 52.4 | 13.9 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 60.7 | 70% |
| Austin ReavesLAL | 59 | 52.2 | 15.9 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 61.3 | 57% |
| Franz WagnerORL | 60 | 52.0 | 19.7 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 57.5 | 57% |
| Terry RozierMIA | 61 | 51.9 | 19.8 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 55.5 | 56% |
| Nic ClaxtonBKN | 62 | 51.9 | 11.8 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 62.9 | 39% |
| Michael Porter Jr.DEN | 63 | 51.7 | 16.7 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 60.1 | 70% |
| Trey Murphy IIINOP | 64 | 51.7 | 14.8 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 61.2 | 60% |
| Jalen JohnsonATL | 65 | 51.5 | 16.0 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 58.4 | 44% |
| Tobias HarrisPHI | 66 | 51.4 | 17.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 57.6 | 57% |
| Brook LopezMIL | 67 | 51.3 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 60.8 | 60% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.MEM | 68 | 50.9 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 55.3 | 33% |
| Khris MiddletonMIL | 69 | 50.8 | 15.1 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 59.5 | 60% |
| Herbert JonesNOP | 70 | 50.8 | 11.0 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 63.6 | 60% |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR | 71 | 50.5 | 11.1 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 65.3 | 30% |
| Darius GarlandCLE | 72 | 50.3 | 18.0 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 56.0 | 59% |
| Donte DiVincenzoNYK | 73 | 50.3 | 15.5 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 59.7 | 61% |
| Nikola VucevicCHI | 74 | 50.0 | 18.0 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 54.0 | 48% |
| Onyeka OkongwuATL | 75 | 49.9 | 10.2 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 67.4 | 44% |
| Jalen DurenDET | 76 | 49.8 | 13.8 | 11.6 | 2.4 | 65.3 | 17% |
| Collin SextonUTA | 77 | 49.8 | 18.7 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 60.7 | 38% |
| Coby WhiteCHI | 78 | 49.7 | 19.1 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 57.0 | 48% |
| Jusuf NurkicPHX | 79 | 49.6 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 55.9 | 60% |
| Nick RichardsCHA | 80 | 49.6 | 9.7 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 71.7 | 26% |
| Alex CarusoCHI | 81 | 49.0 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 61.3 | 48% |
| Jonathan KumingaGSW | 82 | 48.8 | 16.1 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 59.8 | 56% |
| Draymond GreenGSW | 83 | 48.8 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 58.7 | 56% |
| John CollinsUTA | 84 | 48.8 | 15.1 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 62.1 | 38% |
| Naz ReidMIN | 85 | 48.8 | 13.5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 59.5 | 68% |
| Aaron NesmithIND | 86 | 48.7 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 63.1 | 57% |
| Deandre AytonPOR | 87 | 48.6 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 1.6 | 58.7 | 26% |
| Cade CunninghamDET | 88 | 48.6 | 22.7 | 4.3 | 7.5 | 54.6 | 17% |
| Miles BridgesCHA | 89 | 48.3 | 21.0 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 55.6 | 26% |
| Rui HachimuraLAL | 90 | 48.3 | 13.6 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 62.8 | 57% |
| Jalen SuggsORL | 91 | 48.3 | 12.6 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 60.2 | 57% |
| Keegan MurraySAC | 92 | 48.2 | 15.2 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 56.9 | 56% |
| Devin VassellSAS | 93 | 48.2 | 19.5 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 57.8 | 27% |
| Mikal BridgesBKN | 94 | 48.0 | 19.6 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 56.0 | 39% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.ORL | 95 | 47.9 | 11.0 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 62.3 | 57% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-PopeDEN | 96 | 47.9 | 10.1 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 60.2 | 70% |
| Clint CapelaATL | 97 | 47.9 | 11.5 | 10.6 | 1.2 | 59.0 | 44% |
| Klay ThompsonGSW | 98 | 47.8 | 17.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 57.6 | 56% |
| RJ BarrettTOR | 99 | 47.8 | 20.2 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 58.0 | 30% |
| Malik MonkSAC | 100 | 47.8 | 15.4 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 56.5 | 56% |
| Jalen GreenHOU | 101 | 47.7 | 19.6 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 54.1 | 50% |
| Josh GiddeyOKC | 102 | 47.7 | 12.3 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 54.7 | 70% |
| Tyus JonesWAS | 103 | 47.4 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 7.3 | 57.8 | 18% |
| Bobby PortisMIL | 104 | 47.4 | 13.8 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 58.1 | 60% |
| Norman PowellLAC | 105 | 47.3 | 13.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 62.6 | 62% |
| Cam ThomasBKN | 106 | 47.3 | 22.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 55.4 | 39% |
| Kyle KuzmaWAS | 107 | 47.3 | 22.2 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 54.7 | 18% |
| Bogdan BogdanovicATL | 108 | 47.3 | 16.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 56.9 | 44% |
| Jerami GrantPOR | 109 | 47.0 | 21.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 57.3 | 26% |
| Immanuel QuickleyTOR | 110 | 46.9 | 17.0 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 57.7 | 30% |
| Duncan RobinsonMIA | 111 | 46.8 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 61.2 | 56% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.HOU | 112 | 46.7 | 13.7 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 57.1 | 50% |
| Caris LeVertCLE | 113 | 46.4 | 14.0 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 52.4 | 59% |
| Luguentz DortOKC | 114 | 46.4 | 10.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 59.3 | 70% |
| Ayo DosunmuCHI | 115 | 46.3 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 60.4 | 48% |
| Chris PaulGSW | 116 | 46.3 | 9.2 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 54.4 | 56% |
| OG AnunobyTOR | 117 | 46.1 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 59.5 | 30% |
| Max StrusCLE | 118 | 46.0 | 12.2 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 55.3 | 59% |
| Deni AvdijaWAS | 119 | 45.9 | 14.7 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 59.7 | 18% |
| Buddy HieldIND | 120 | 45.6 | 12.1 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 57.8 | 57% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI | 121 | 45.4 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 53.5 | 57% |
| De'Andre HunterATL | 122 | 45.3 | 15.6 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 59.5 | 44% |
| Kyle LowryMIA | 123 | 45.3 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 59.4 | 56% |
| Malik BeasleyMIL | 124 | 45.2 | 11.3 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 60.3 | 60% |
| Harrison BarnesSAC | 125 | 45.1 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 61.1 | 56% |
| Bojan BogdanovicNYK | 126 | 44.9 | 15.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 58.1 | 61% |
| Isaac OkoroCLE | 127 | 44.9 | 9.4 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 59.9 | 59% |
| Terance MannLAC | 128 | 44.8 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 61.5 | 62% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.MIA | 129 | 44.8 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 57.4 | 56% |
| Tre JonesSAS | 130 | 44.7 | 10.0 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 59.1 | 27% |
| Grant WilliamsDAL | 131 | 44.7 | 10.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 58.8 | 61% |
| Cameron JohnsonBKN | 132 | 44.5 | 13.4 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 58.2 | 39% |
| Vince Williams Jr.MEM | 133 | 44.2 | 10.0 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 59.7 | 33% |
| Bennedict MathurinIND | 134 | 44.2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 56.2 | 57% |
| Josh HartNYK | 135 | 44.1 | 9.4 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 52.1 | 61% |
| Eric GordonPHX | 136 | 44.1 | 11.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 58.0 | 60% |
| Jaden McDanielsMIN | 137 | 44.0 | 10.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 57.1 | 68% |
| Nicolas BatumPHI | 138 | 43.9 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 60.3 | 57% |
| Keldon JohnsonSAS | 139 | 43.8 | 15.7 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 56.5 | 27% |
| Dennis SchroderTOR | 140 | 43.6 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 55.0 | 30% |
| Kevin HuerterSAC | 141 | 43.6 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 56.4 | 56% |
| Gordon HaywardOKC | 142 | 43.5 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 54.9 | 70% |
| Brandon MillerCHA | 143 | 43.3 | 17.3 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 55.2 | 26% |
| Andrew NembhardIND | 144 | 43.3 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 57.3 | 57% |
| Josh GreenDAL | 145 | 43.0 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 58.8 | 61% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.DAL | 146 | 43.0 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 54.2 | 61% |
| Andrew WigginsGSW | 147 | 43.0 | 13.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 54.4 | 56% |
| Brandin PodziemskiGSW | 148 | 42.9 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 54.0 | 56% |
| Saddiq BeyATL | 149 | 42.9 | 13.7 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 54.9 | 44% |
| Jordan ClarksonUTA | 150 | 42.7 | 17.1 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 52.1 | 38% |
| Corey KispertWAS | 151 | 42.0 | 13.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 62.0 | 18% |
| Taurean PrinceLAL | 152 | 42.0 | 8.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 57.9 | 57% |
| Simone FontecchioUTA | 153 | 41.9 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 60.0 | 38% |
| Jordan PooleWAS | 154 | 41.7 | 17.4 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 52.9 | 18% |
| Gary HarrisORL | 155 | 41.5 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 58.7 | 57% |
| Spencer DinwiddieBKN | 156 | 41.5 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 54.3 | 39% |
| Dillon BrooksHOU | 157 | 41.4 | 12.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 54.9 | 50% |
| Bruce BrownTOR | 158 | 40.7 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 56.3 | 30% |
| GG JacksonMEM | 159 | 40.7 | 14.6 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 55.5 | 33% |
| P.J. WashingtonCHA | 160 | 40.7 | 12.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 53.7 | 26% |
| Caleb MartinMIA | 161 | 40.7 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 53.1 | 56% |
| Gary Trent Jr.TOR | 162 | 40.6 | 13.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 54.8 | 30% |
| Santi AldamaMEM | 163 | 40.6 | 10.7 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 53.9 | 33% |
| Jaden IveyDET | 164 | 40.2 | 15.4 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 53.6 | 17% |
| Royce O'NealeBKN | 165 | 40.0 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 54.8 | 39% |
| Keyonte GeorgeUTA | 166 | 39.7 | 13.0 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 53.3 | 38% |
| Jeremy SochanSAS | 167 | 39.1 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 51.3 | 27% |
| Dorian Finney-SmithBKN | 168 | 38.8 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 54.6 | 39% |
| Scoot HendersonPOR | 169 | 37.5 | 14.0 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 48.9 | 26% |
| Ausar ThompsonDET | 170 | 36.9 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 52.2 | 17% |
| Bilal CoulibalyWAS | 171 | 36.0 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 54.3 | 18% |
| Toumani CamaraPOR | 172 | 36.0 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 54.7 | 26% |